Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.015587 0.017421 0.019271 0.021270 0.023363 0.025486 0.027797
2025-04-13 0.011244 0.014009 0.016932 0.020220 0.023789 0.027520 0.031693
2025-04-20 0.009399 0.012740 0.016398 0.020627 0.025322 0.030323 0.036004
2025-04-27 0.007599 0.011248 0.015385 0.020295 0.025856 0.031873 0.038798
2025-05-04 0.006062 0.009867 0.014340 0.019782 0.026062 0.032952 0.040972
2025-05-11 0.005163 0.009146 0.013977 0.019973 0.026993 0.034776 0.043909
2025-05-18 0.004243 0.008292 0.013373 0.019814 0.027465 0.036037 0.046174
2025-05-25 0.003319 0.007317 0.012540 0.019317 0.027491 0.036746 0.047778
2025-06-01 0.002618 0.006557 0.011917 0.019024 0.027714 0.037646 0.049565
2025-06-08 0.001989 0.005810 0.011250 0.018631 0.027781 0.038336 0.051086
2025-06-15 0.001587 0.005352 0.010933 0.018648 0.028318 0.039552 0.053192
2025-06-22 0.001134 0.004716 0.010321 0.018250 0.028325 0.040125 0.054539
2025-06-29 0.000688 0.004003 0.009602 0.017766 0.028309 0.040783 0.056125
2025-07-06 0.000274 0.003118 0.008549 0.016805 0.027698 0.040750 0.056941
2025-07-13 0.000157 0.002895 0.008493 0.017178 0.028749 0.042694 0.060057
2025-07-20 0.000034 0.002423 0.007975 0.016874 0.028913 0.043549 0.061877
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001944 0.007370 0.016405 0.028836 0.044090 0.063306
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001736 0.007222 0.016580 0.029585 0.045630 0.065912
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001446 0.006874 0.016434 0.029897 0.046621 0.067854
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001103 0.006343 0.015980 0.029777 0.047063 0.069126
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000853 0.005952 0.015713 0.029889 0.047780 0.070715
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000619 0.005521 0.015354 0.029860 0.048306 0.072064
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000493 0.005333 0.015370 0.030332 0.049456 0.074162